Saints vs. Seahawks | Wild-Card Predictions

NFL NFC Wild-Card Free Pick

vs.

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, January 2, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST on CBS

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The Saints played their way into this year’s playoffs with seven wins in its last nine games after a shaky 4-3 start. They now have a chance to do what no team has done since the 2004-2005 Patriots, repeat as Super Bowl Champions. This year New Orleans will have to do it on the road where it went 6-2. This team is not nearly as dominant as last year’s but is still more than capable on making another deep run as long as it does not shoot itself in the foot with turnovers.

Much has been made about the Seahawks’ home field advantage at Qwest Field, which is probably the only thing in their favor in this game. The reality is that Seattle went just 5-3 at home this season and was blown-out by the N.Y. Giants 41-7, Kansas City 42-24, and Atlanta 34-18 in those three losses. The only team it beat at home with a winning record was San Diego by seven points in Week 3. Home field can only go so far for a team with the 28th-ranked offense in the league to go along with the 27th-ranked defense.

The total has gone ‘over’ in five of New Orleans last seven playoff games. Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last six games as an underdog and 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Resist the temptation to jump on a double-digit spread in the playoffs, it is that high for a good reason. Stick with the Saints in a laugher.

The odds makers have the New Orleans as a -11 point favorite with an over/under of 44.5.

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Team records:

• New Orleans: 11-5 SU, 6-10 ATS
• Seattle: 7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS

New Orleans Saints most recently:

• When playing in January are 4-6
• When playing on turf are 7-3
• After being outgained are 6-4
• When playing outside the division are 7-3

Seattle Seahawks most recently:

• When playing in January are 5-5
• When playing on turf are 5-5
• After outgaining opponent are 1-9
• When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few betting trends to consider:

• New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
• New Orleans is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games when playing Seattle
• New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle’s last 9 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing New Orleans
• Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games