NFL Week 7 – Top Pointspread Plays

Top 3 NFL Pointspread Plays- Week 7

Last week eight home teams won their game straight-up, but only five came out on top against the spread. Seven road teams won ATS and two games; Baltimore at New England and Indianapolis at Washington ended in a ‘push’.

Five dogs managed to win their games ATS with only three; Seattle, Miami, and St. Louis winning outright as the favorites had a slight edge for a change.

Turning to Week 7 there are only two home teams getting points; Miami and Carolina. The largest spread has New Orleans at home giving 13 points to Cleveland and Baltimore at home giving 13 points to Buffalo. Three home teams are only giving 2 ½ points; Tampa Bay against St. Louis, San Diego against New England, and Green Bay against Minnesota.

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Here is a look at my top three ‘pointspread’ plays for the NFL’s Week 7. All lines quoted are courtesy of BetUs.com.

vs.

Washington @ Chicago (-2 ½)

Washington comes into this game with the15^th ranked offense in the league in terms of average yards per game and is ranked ninth in passing behind the arm of Donovan McNabb. Defensively things are not nearly as good. The Redskins are ranked last in average yards allowed and 31^stagainst the pass.

Chicago QB Jay Cutler has been sacked 15 times in his last two games and 26 times on the season. The Bear’s offense is ranked 29^th overall in average yards per game and 22^nd in passing.

The Redskins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Bears. The road team in this matchup is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Pick: Washington + 2 ½

vs.

Oakland @ Denver (-8)

Oakland Head Coach may go to Kyle Boller as his starting quarterback with Bruce Gradkowski still nursing a sore shoulder. Boller could be a good change of pace given the recent woes of the Raiders opening day starter Jason Campbell.

Denver’s offense has been weighed heavily towards the pass as it is averaging 311 yards per game through the air, but just 63 yards a game on the ground. This does not match up well with an Oakland defense that is ranked eighth against the pass and 30^th against the run.

The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Broncos and 4-0 ATS in the last four games played in Denver. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Pick: Oakland +8

vs.

Minnesota @ Green Bay (-2 ½)

Minnesota WR Randy Moss has at least one touchdown catch in his last six games against the Packers and could be due for a breakout game on Sunday. Brett Favre completed 73.7 percent of his passes last week against Dallas which is a major improvement from his 56.5 completion percentage prior to that game.

Green Bay will get NFL sack leader Clay Matthews back from injury this week which should help a defense that did not get to QB Chad Henne once in last week’s 23-20 loss to Miami. QB Aaron Rodgers has lost three out of four games against the Vikings since taking over for Favre two years ago.

The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Green Bay. The road team is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings and the underdog is 17-5 ATS in the last 22 meetings. The Pick: Minnesota +2 ½

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