NFC Week 11 Predictions

NFC Top 3 Matchups- Week 11

There are seven weeks left in the 2010 NFL regular season and it looks like we will need every last one of them to sort out the playoff picture in the NFC. Philadelphia and New York are on top of the NFC East at 6-3 with Washington still hanging around at 4-5. Green Bay and Chicago are out in front of the North with a 6-3 record in what appears to be a two-team race to the finish. Atlanta has the best record in the conference at 7-2, but it only has a one game lead over both New Orleans and upstart Tampa Bay in the South. The West is still anybody’s guess with Seattle leading at 5-4, but closely followed by St. Louis at 4-5 along with San Francisco and Arizona at 3-6.

Here is a look at my top three matchups in the NFC for Week 11 of the NFL season. All odds are provided by BetUs.com.

Green Bay (-3) @ Minnesota                          Over/Under: 44

Green Bay remains the walking wounded with the number of players on the Injured Reserve list up in the double-digits, but it still has found a way to produce an offense that is ranked ninth in scoring; averaging 24.6 points per game and a defense that is ranked first in points allowed; giving up an average of just 15.9 points per game.

Minnesota’s season hangs on the brink this week given that at 3-6 another loss would pretty much mean the end of any kind of legitimate shot at making the playoffs. The Vikings may get a boost on offense if they decide to activate WR Sidney Rice for this game.

The Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last five games played in Minnesota and the road team in this series is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 games. The total has gone ‘over’ in 15 of the last 21 games between these two teams. Take Green Bay to put the Vikings out of their misery once and for all.

Seattle @ New Orleans (-12)                           Over/Under: 44

Seattle is 5-4 this season but has been outscored by a total of 43 points on the road. QB Matt Hasselbeck broke two bones in his left wrist in last week’s win over Arizona, but the Seahawks do not expect the injury to limit him in any way this week.

New Orleans is 6-3 this season and has actually been outscored at home by one point. RB Reggie Bush is set to return to action this week after missing most of the season with a broken fibula. Fellow back Pierre Thomas is still a few weeks away from returning after injuring his ankle in Week 3.

The Seahawks are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games and 2-8 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Saints are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against the NFC, but 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record. It is a big spread for New Orleans to cover, but Seattle is one of the worst road teams in the league.

New York @ Philadelphia (-3)                         Over/Under: 48 ½

New York resigned WR Derek Hagan this week to replace Ramses Barden, who broke his ankle in last week’s loss to Dallas. The Giants will also be without WR Steve Smith for this game after he tore a muscle in his chest last week as well.

Much has been made about Michael Vicks’ 333 passing yards and four touchdown passes in last Monday night’s 59-28 blowout over Washington, but his most impressive stat was a 71.4 completion percentage. He has completed 62.7 percent of his passes this season which is by far the highest in his career.

The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played in Philadelphia. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this series and the underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 games. The total has gone ‘over’ in eight of the last 12 games played in Philadelphia. Take New York and the points in a high-scoring one or two point game.

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