Bengals vs Patriots | Prediction & Pick

Sunday Sept. 12 – 1:00 p.m. (ET) on CBS

vs.

Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots (-4 ½)                               ‘Over/Under’ 45

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Both of these teams finished the 2009 season with 10-6 records and won their respective division. The primary difference is that Cincinnati looks back at this with a sense of accomplishment, while New England is disappointed with its performance.

This game should provide a good measuring stick to see if the Bengals can once again compete for the division title or are they just a one-hit wonder. On the other side of the coin it is time to find out if the Patriots are still one of the top teams in the AFC or will the downward spiral continue.

Cincinnati has all the tools on offense to score points with the addition of first round pick TE Jermaine Gresham and veteran WR Terrell Owens to an already solid receiving corps. QB Tom Brady has WR Wes Welker back which is vital to their success on offense. This game should easily go ‘over’ the total with the Patriots coming out on top.

2009 Team Records:

• Cincinnati: 10-6 SU, 7-9 ATS
• New England: 10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS

Cincinnati most recently:

• When playing in September are 3-7
• When playing on turf are 6-4
• After being outgained are 4-6
• When playing outside the division are 4-6

New England most recently:

• When playing in September are 7-3
• When playing on turf are 7-3
• After being outgained are 6-4
• When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing New England
• Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
• Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
• Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
• New England is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
• New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
• New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
• The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 7 games

Next up:

• Cincinnati home to Baltimore, Sunday, September 19
• New England at NY Jets, Sunday, September 19

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