AFC Week 10 Predictions

AFC Top 3 Matchups-Week 10

Week 10 marks the start of the second half of the 2010 NFL regular season and to borrow some horse racing terminology, the AFC it is shaping up as a four-horse race, with a couple of other contenders stalking the lead a few lengths back. New England and New York (Jets) lead the East at 6-2 and Pittsburgh and Baltimore are atop the North with the same record. Do not forget about perennial favorites; Indianapolis (5-3) and San Diego (4-5) as well as some upstarts like Tennessee (5-3), Kansas City (5-3) and Oakland (5-4). One thing is for sure, the second half will be a wild ride down the stretch right to the finish line.

Here is a look at my top three matchups in the AFC for Week 10 of the NFL season. All odds are provided by BetUs.com.

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Tennessee (-1 ½) @ Miami                      Over/Under: 43

Tennessee is coming off its bye week with a new weapon on offense. Much-travelled WR Randy Moss will make his first start as a Titan after wearing out his welcome as first a Patriot and then briefly as a Viking. Head coach Jeff Fisher is confident that Moss will be an attribute to the team, but that remains to be seen.

Miami needs to quickly plug some holes on a rapidly sinking season. The Dolphins are two games behind in the division and already have one loss to both the Patriots and the Jets. The offensive production continues to head in the wrong direction as they are now ranked 28th in the league in scoring; averaging 17.9 points per game.

The Titans are 2-6 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC. The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS loss and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The total has stayed ‘under’ in the last five games of this series that were played in Miami. Take Miami to get back on track with a win.

Kansas City (-1) @ Denver                       Over/Under: 42 ½

Kansas City’s early lead in the West is down to just ½ a game after losing to Oakland 23-20 last week. The Chiefs shot themselves in the foot by giving away a 10-0 lead with turnovers, penalties, blown coverage’s, and sloppy play. How they respond this week should tell us a lot about how good they really are.

Denver is coming off a bye after stumbling to a 2-6 record the first half of the season. The Broncos are a contrast in opposites on both sides of the ball. They are ranked third in the league in pass offense and dead last in rushing. The defense is ranked eighth against the pass and 31stagainst the run.

The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU lost and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of Kansas City’s last six games as a road favorite. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in its last six games as an underdog. Take Kansas City to rebound with a big win on Sunday.

New England @ Pittsburgh (-5)              Over/Under: 45

New England’s defense has been sketchy all season long, but last week was a new low after giving up 404 yards of total offense including 230 yards on the ground to a Browns’ offense that was ranked 25th overall. For the season, the Patriots are ranked 29th in total defense and 24th in points allowed.

Pittsburgh’s defense on the other hand is ranked fourth overall; 24th against the pass but first against the run. The Steelers are the stingiest defense in the league; giving up an average of just 15.4 per game.

The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in its last six games played in Pittsburgh and 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against the Steelers overall. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between these two teams and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their last seven meetings. All signs point to a New England win against the spread in this one.

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