Oregon State vs Arizona | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 9, 2010

vs.

Oregon State (2-2, 1-0) at No. 9 Arizona (4-0, 1-0), Versus, 7:00 p.m ET

The Wildcats began its 2010 campaign with a couple of cupcake wins over and the Citadel and then made their mark with a remarkable win over then-No. 9 Iowa.

However, a 10-9 victory over Cal in the final minute will not be a confidence booster as the ‘Cats prepare for its bout with the Oregon State Beavers.

The Beavs trial the series with their neighbors from the south, 21-11-1, since 1966. However, Oregon State has won nine of the last 11 meetings and four straight in Tucson a place where the Wildcats have won 15 of their last 18.

OSU appears to have finally awakened offensively as they shock off their loss to Boise State with a 31-28 win over Arizona State in its last outing.

RB Jacquizz Rodgers turned in his best performance of the season that included a pair of TDs and 145 yards in the win.

He will face a Wildcats’ defense that has carried Arizona’s offense for much of the season so far, ranking second in the FBS in total defense with 230.8 yards per game, while surrendering just three touchdowns – all to Iowa – this season.

Arizona QB Nick Foles made his debut last season in Corvallis, passing for 254 yards and three touchdowns. The junior has established himself as one of the elite quarterbacks in the Pac-10 this season, having thrown for 1,089 yards with six TDs and a conference-best 74 completion percentage.

He should wreck havoc on a Beavers defense that has been caught napping in two losses to ranked teams this season..

Prediction: Arizona – Bet Now

Odds: Oregon State: +7.5 – Arizona: -7.5 – Over/Under: 50.5

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Team records:

• Oregon State: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
• Arizona: 4-0 SU, 2-1 ATS

Oregon State Beavers most recently:

• When playing in October are 8-2
• When playing on grass are 5-5
• After outgaining opponent are 6-4
• When playing within the conference are 7-3

Arizona Wildcats most recently:

• When playing in October are 5-5
• When playing on grass are 8-2
• After outgaining opponent are 7-3
• When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few betting trends to consider:

• Oregon State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
• Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
• Oregon State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State’s last 6 games on the road
• Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
• Arizona is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 6 games when playing Oregon State
• Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State

Next up:

• Oregon State at Washington, Saturday, October 16