Iowa vs Michigan | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 16, 2010

vs.

#15 Iowa @ Michigan – 3:30 PM ET on ABC

Game of the week in the conference as far as I am concerned. We will get a good chance to see how Big Blue and Denard Robinson respond to adversity and another look at how good the Iowa defense is. My bet is that Robinson will have an effective but not dominant game while Iowa shows the form that made them a preseason top 10 team. Michigan still has yet to stop anybody this season and Iowa, with their balanced attack, should have no problem scoring enough points to back up their defense. P.S. If Robinson is superb in an upset he jumps back to the top of the Heisman rating…and grab Iowa while the spread is still low.

Prediction: Iowa 34 – Michigan 24 – Bet Now

Odds: Iowa: -3.5 – Michigan: +3.5 – Over/Under: 53

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Team records:

• Iowa: 4-1 SU, 3-1 ATS
• Michigan: 5-1 SU, 3-2 ATS

Iowa Hawkeyes most recently:

• When playing in October are 9-1
• When playing on turf are 4-6
• After outgaining opponent are 7-3
• When playing within the conference are 8-2

Michigan Wolverines most recently:

• When playing in October are 2-8
• When playing on turf are 4-6
• After being outgained are 4-6
• When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few betting trends to consider:

• Iowa is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
• Iowa is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
• The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa’s last 8 games on the road
• Iowa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Michigan
• Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
• Michigan is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
• Michigan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Iowa

Next up:

• Iowa home to Wisconsin, Saturday, October 23
• Michigan at Penn State, Saturday, October 30