Top 3 NFL Pointspread Plays – Week 8
Last week eight home teams won their game straight-up, but only seven came out on top against the spread, while seven road teams won ATS as well.
Nine dogs managed to win their games ATS with six teams winning outright; Carolina, Washington, Cleveland, New England, Oakland, and New York (Giants).
Turning to Week 8 there is only one home team getting points; New Orleans +1 against Pittsburgh. The largest spread has Dallas at home giving 10 ½ points to Jacksonville. There are two other one-point spreads; Denver @ San Francisco (-1) and Seattle @ Oakland (-1).
Here is a look at my top three ‘pointspread’ plays for the NFL’s Week 8. All lines quoted are courtesy of BetUs.com.
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Denver @ San Francisco (-1)
Denver had a long time to think about its 59-14 beatdown at the hands of Oakland last week on the flight to London for this week’s game at Wembley Stadium. How this team reacts this week after one of the most embarrassing defeats in franchise history is still anybody’s guess.
San Francisco Head Coach Mike Singletary has not given up on his team, but his team may have given up on him after enduring their fifth loss in their first six games. Former Heisman Trophy winner Troy Smith will get the start at quarterback in this game after Alex Smith separated his shoulder in the 49ers 23-20 loss to Carolina.
The Broncos are 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following a SU loss. The 49ers are 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU loss. The Pick: San Francisco -1
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Miami @ Cincinnati (-2 ½)
Miami’s offense is averaging 342 total yards per game; 235 yards passing and 107 yards rushing, ranking them in the top half of the league in all three categories. The Dolphins’ defense is ranked 11th overall; 12th against the run and 17th against the pass.
Cincinnati’s dynamic duo of Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco have combined for 76 receptions for 988 yards and five TD’s and QB Carson Palmer has thrown for 1,699 yards, but the Bengals have only a 2-4 record to show for it.
The Dolphins are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Bengals are 6-20 in their last 26 games as a favorite. The Pick: Miami + 2 ½
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Tampa Bay @ Arizona (-3)
Tampa Bay’s success this season can be partially attributed to a pass defense that is ranked sixth in the league, giving up an average of just 196.2 yards per game and a +6 turnover ratio which is one of the best in the league.
Arizona’s offense is ranked dead last in both passing and total yards per game averaging just 146.2 yards through the air and 237.8 yards of total offense per game. The Cardinals have a turnover ratio of -7 which is tied for second worse in the NFL.
The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.The Pick: Tampa Bay +3
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