Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines | Predictions, Free Pick, Odds | Sportsbookbuzz.com

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 9, 2010

vs.

#17 Michigan State @ #18 Michigan – 3:30 PM ET on ABC

Game of the Week in the Big Ten and a hard one to predict. Both teams have one common opponent in Notre Dame and both took it down to the wire before putting the Irish away. Big Blue did it in regulation while the Spartans pulled off one of the gutsiest overtime plays in history. Home field aside the key is Denard Robinson. He has already set a record with 4 games of 200 yards rushing and 200 yards passing combined. If he has another one of those the Spartans are going to have a tough time keeping up with the Wolverines. Lucky for them they have the best linebacker in college football, Greg Jones, on their side. If he can spy Robinson and slow him down then the Spartans have a chance. I like those odds, and a weak Michigan defense so I am going to go out on a limb for the upset.

Prediction: Michigan State 30 – Michigan 24 – Bet Now

Odds: Michigan State: +4 – Michigan: -4 – Over/Under: 64

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Team records:

Michigan State: 5-0 SU, 2-2 ATS
Michigan: 5-0 SU, 3-1 ATS

Michigan State Spartans most recently:

When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 5-5

Michigan Wolverines most recently:

When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few betting trends to consider:

Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 6 games when playing Michigan
Michigan State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Michigan State
Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

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