Top Three Pointspread Plays – NFL Week 2
Week 1 in the NFL belonged to the home team as they won 12 of the 16 games straight up and nine against the spread. The road teams only managed to win four games both SU and ATS while three games ended in a push. Underdogs made an early statement as seven teams covered the spread. Five home dogs and one road dog (Baltimore) won their games outright.
Here is a look at my top three ‘pointspread’ plays for the NFL’s Week 2. All lines are courtesy of Sportsbook.com.
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Arizona is coming off an opening day 17-14 road win over St. Louis as a three point favorite. Derek Anderson made his debut as the Cardinal’s new starting quarterback and while his completion percentage was only 53.7, his 21 yard touchdown pass to Larry Fitzgerald midway through the fourth quarter proved to be the game winner.
Atlanta’s offense was stifled by a very good Pittsburgh defense as the Falcons only managed to kick three field goals in their 15-9 OT loss as a one point road favorite. They only managed 295 yards of total offense and RB Michael Turner was held to 42 yards rushing on 19 carries.
The Cardinals are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games played on fieldturf, while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Arizona’s defense on the road will be much easier to score on as Atlanta QB Matt Ryan gets back on track with a big day.
The Pick: Atlanta – 6 ½
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Philadelphia (-6) @ Detroit
Kevin Kolb’s debut as Philadelphia’s new franchise quarterback got off to a rocky start has he got knocked out of the game with a concussion with his team trailing Green Bay 20-3. Backup QB Michael Vick almost pulled off a dramatic comeback, but fell just short as the Eagles lost 27-20 as a three point road underdog.
Last week against Chicago as a six point road dog, Detroit lost its QB Mathew Stafford with a separated shoulder, but even worse lost the game 19-14 when an apparent game winning TD Reception by WR Calvin Johnson was ruled incomplete because the ball touched the ground in the end zone before he was completely down.
The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on fieldturf, while the Lions are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games. In a battle of backup QB’s, Philadelphia has the advantage with Vick behind center.
The Pick: Philadelphia – 6
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Chicago dodged a huge bullet after winning last week’s game against Detroit on a technicality. The Bears played well overall but were far from dominant in a game they were favored by six at home. One cause for concern was their inability to punch the ball in the end zone in four tries from first and goal at the one.
Dallas, a four point road favorite, shot itself in both feet in an ugly 13-7 loss to Washington last Sunday night. First, RB Tashard Choice’s fumble on the final play of the first half was returned for a Redskin’s touchdown. Second, WR Roy William’s game winning TD catch with no time on the clock was called back for a holding call.
The Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, while the Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Tony Romo and Co. put it all together this week for Dallas, as this offense finally plays to its potential.
The Pick: Dallas -7
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