Jets vs. Patriots | Divisional Playoffs Predictions

NFL Free Pick – Sunday, January 16, 2010

vs.

New York Jets at New England Patriots
Sunday, January 16, 2011 at 4:30 pm ET on CBS

Pointspread: Patriots -9
Over/Under: 45 ½

The Jets need to find a way to correct all the things that went wrong in their 45-3 battering at the hands of New England the second time these two teams met this season. This is not the same team that New York pushed around in a 28-14 victory way back in Week 2 and head coach Rex Ryan knows it. If the Jets cannot find a way to effectively run the ball and chew up the clock against the Patriots’ defense, this game could get out of control in a hurry.

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The Patriots come into this game with an eight game winning streak in which they have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 229-71. In their last six games of the regular season, QB Tom Brady has had a passer rating of 130.6; throwing 17 touchdowns and no interceptions. To make matters worse for New York, in the last five games of the season, New England’s defense gave up a total of 47 points.

New York is 3-3 ATS in its last six games on the road and 3-3 ATS in its last six games overall. New England is 3-2 ATS in its last five games at home and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The Jets are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games against the Patriots and the total has gone ‘over’ in three of the last five meetings. There will be no early exit from the playoffs for Bill Belichick and Co. this season as New England makes a statement in this game.

The odds makers have the New England Patriots as a -9 point favorite with an over/under of 45.5.

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Team records:

• New York: 11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS
• New England: 14-2 SU, 10-5-1 ATS

New York Jets Betting Trends:

• When playing in January are 7-3
• When playing on turf are 7-3
• After outgaining opponent are 9-1
• When playing within the division are 5-5

New England Patriots Betting Trends:

• When playing in January are 6-4
• When playing on turf are 9-1
• After outgaining opponent are 8-2
• When playing within the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 9 of the NY Jets last 10 games on the road
• NY Jets are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games on the road
• NY Jets are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games
• The total has gone OVER in 12 of the NY Jets last 16 games
• New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
• New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games at home
• The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England’s last 10 games