NFL Top 3 Pointspread Plays-Week 13
Last week seven home teams won their game straight-up, and only six came out on top against the spread. Nine road teams won straight-up and 10 road teams won ATS.
A total of 10 dogs managed to win their games ATS with five teams winning their game SU. St. Louis pulled off the biggest upset of the week with a 36-33 win over Oakland as a four-point road underdog.
Turning to Week 13 there are four home teams getting points. The largest spread has Cincinnati getting 6 ½ points at home against New Orleans and the smallest spread has Tampa getting three points at home against Atlanta and Detroit getting three against Chicago.
Here is a look at my top three ‘pointspread’ plays for the NFL’s Week 13. All lines quoted are courtesy of BetUs.com.
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Chicago (-3) @ Detroit
The Bears’ offense looked sharp last week in a 31-26 win over Philadelphia, but on the year is still ranked 28th overall in the league and 22nd in scoring. The real strength of this team lies in its fourth ranked defense that is giving up an average of just 300.2 yards of total offense per game.
The 2-9 Lions may be running out of steam after losing so many close games this season. They have been outscored 80-43 in their last two after losing seven games this season by an average of just 5.3 points.
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five games against the NFC North. Detroit is 2-6-1 in its last nine games against the NFC North. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two. Take the Bears to ride their defense to their ninth win of the season. The Pick: Chicago -3
St. Louis (-3 ½) @ Arizona
The Rams suddenly find themselves tied for first place in the NFC West despite having a losing record at 5-6. While their offense has struggled to consistently put points of the board, the defense continues to improve as the season goes on and is now ranked 15th in the league in points allowed.
The Cardinals offense is downright atrocious and is ranked near the bottom of the league in every major category. The defense is pretty much in the same boat making this team easily one of the worst in the league.
St.Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last five games on the road and 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall. Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games as an underdog and 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC West. After Monday night’s meltdown against the 49ers, the Cardinals will be phoning it in over the next five weeks. The Pick: St. Louis -3 1/2
Buffalo @ Minnesota (-5 ½)
The 2-9 Bills have to be the biggest hard-luck team in the league after losing another close game last week. They have lost their last four games to Baltimore, Kansas City, Chicago, and Pittsburgh by a combined 12 points. Buffalo has not been blown out since a 38-14 loss to the Jets in Week 4.
The Vikings squeaked out just their fourth win of the season in last week’s 17-13 victory over Washington. They will most likely be without their most productive player on offense this week as RB Adrian Peterson suffered a sprained ankle in last week’s win.
Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games and 5-0-1 in its last six games overall. Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a SU win and 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall. The Bills may lose another close one on the road but take them to cover with the 5 ½ points. The Pick: Buffalo +5 1/2
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