NFL Free Pick – Sunday, December 26, 2010
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Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, December 26, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST on CBS
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Tennessee beat up on Houston last week, 31-17. Kansas City should prove to be more of a challenge having won four of their last five, and are ranked 1st in the AFC west. The Chiefs beat St. Louis last week 27-13 by out rushing the Rams 210 yards to 69. That rushing attack is ranked first in the NFL with almost 169 yards a game. While the losses have been embarrassing (San Diego 31-0, Houston, Denver) the Chiefs have yet to hit a real cold spell, and their consistency has carried them throughout the season. They don’t pass often, but when they do, Matt Cassel hits his man more often than not, completing 227 of 383 for 24 touchdowns. Tennessee meanwhile, is near the bottom in preventing the pass, and only so-so against the rush. The Chiefs may have to go to the air a bit more, but should still win their tenth of the season.
The odds makers have the Kansas City Chiefs as a -5 point favorite with an over/under of 42.5.
PREDICTION: Kansas City
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Tennessee Titans Betting Trends:
- Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
- Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee’s last 9 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends:
- Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 6 games at home
- Kansas City is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home
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