NFL Free Pick – Sunday, December 12, 2010
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Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, December 12, 2010 at 4:05 PM EST on FOX
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This NFC West battle in the bay believe or not still holds playoff implications for both teams, one of which us under .500.
Seattle head coach Pete Carroll will return to his hometown bringing with him a Seahawks team that is still in the hunt for its fifth NFC West title in seven seasons.
The Seahawks dominated the 49ers in it home opener earlier this year and are coming off a huge win over Carolina last Sunday that saw the team rally from a 14-0 deficit behind running back Marshawn Lynch’s career-high three TDs. Lynch had his second-best performance with 83 yards on 21 carries.
Meanwhile, Francisco struggled in its first game without running back Frank Gore, losing 34-16 at Green Bay last week. Gore, who had 207 yards in last season’s 23-10 home win over Seattle, is out for the season after fracturing his right hip against Arizona on Nov. 29.
There will be another change on the 49ers quarterback rotisserie as Troy Smith, is not start in this week’s game as Alex Smith returns to the lineup after being sidelined with a separated left shoulder suffered in a 23-20 loss at Carolina back on Oct. 24.
Alex Smith has beaten the Seahawks twice, in seven career matchups and was intercepted twice during the road loss in September. I really don’t understand Singletary’s though process on this one.
As for the Seahawks passing game, it’s been crippled. With injuries to both of its leading receivers Mike Williams and Ben Obomanu, quarterback Matt Hasselbeck will have to orchestrate an alternative passing attack. Hasselebeck has won 10 of 14 starts against the 49ers. He’s had two touchdowns in each of his last two meetings and 25 total, the most versus one opponent in his career.
With injured on both sides depleting each team’s strength, this should be a very close low scoring contest. If I have to call it, I will go with San Francisco with its better defensive.
The odds makers have the San Francisco 49ers as a -5.5 point favorite with an over/under of 42.
PREDICTION- San Francisco
Seattle Seahawks Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 5 games
- Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Seattle is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends:
- San Francisco is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
- San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- San Francisco is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games
- San Francisco is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
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