NFL Free Pick – Sunday, October 10, 2010
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New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals 4:05 PM FOX – The Cardinals better hope they find their running game soon as rookie QB Max Hall gets the start this Sunday against the defending champions Saints. Arizona has done a decent job running the football as of late and I’d give them the edge in this one on special teams. WR Larry Fitzgerald is due for a breakout game, and could see that through with the recent change under center. Meanwhile, the Saints can’t be happy with its offensive production. They have had trouble running the ball and scoring points. Only Chicago and Denver are worse running the ball so far. Through four games, it’s pretty evident this isn’t the same team as last year’s, but they will get a chance to get back on the rails against a struggling Cardinals defense that is surrendering 29.5 points and 388 yards per game .It may just be what New Orleans needs to lift its average 19.8 points and 344.0 yards per game back to the numbers it was a year ago today. QB Drew Brees did manage completing 33 of 48 passes for 275 yards and a touchdown in last Sunday’s 16-14 win over Carolina. He should have a big day in the desert, as Brees, who has the league’s fourth-most passing yards with 1,131, faces a Cardinals team is ranked 30th in passing yards allowed.
The odds makers have the Saints as a -7 point favorite with an over/under of 44.5.
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PREDICTION: Arizona
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New Orleans Saints Betting Trends:
- New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
- New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
- New Orleans19-4-1 SU in its last 24 games
- New Orleans10-1-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Arizona Cardinals Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games
- Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
- Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 16 of Arizona’s last 23 games at home
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