NFL Free Pick – Sunday, December 26, 2010
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Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
Sunday, December 26, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST on CBS
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The Ravens win over New Orleans last week put them back into a tie with Pittsburgh in the AFC North at 10-4, but the Steelers still hold the tiebreaker for the division. It is doubtful that Pittsburgh will slip up against Carolina on Thursday night, so Baltimore needs a win in this one to keep pace.
The Browns loss to Cincinnati last week ended their shot at finishing the season with a .500 record but a win at home over their bitter rival would provide a moral victory for this team. Cleveland lost to Baltimore 24-17 in Week 3 on the road, giving them the confidence to take them down this time at home.
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last five games against the Browns and 3-1-1 in its last five games on the road. Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as an underdog and 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of the last five meetings in Cleveland. It will not be as easy as it looks, but the Ravens get the win and cover the points.
The odds makers have the Baltimore Ravens as a -3.5 point favorite with an over/under of 39.5.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends:
- Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 8 games when playing Cleveland
- Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland Browns Betting Trends:
- Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 9 games
- Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
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