NFL Free Pick – Sunday, November 14, 2010
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New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, November 14, 2010 at 8:20 PM EST on NBC
New England’s defense has been sketchy all season long, but last week was a new low after giving up 404 yards of total offense including 230 yards on the ground to a Browns’ offense that was ranked 25th overall. For the season, the Patriots are ranked 29th in total defense and 24th in points allowed.
Pittsburgh’s defense on the other hand is ranked fourth overall; 24th against the pass but first against the run. The Steelers are the stingiest defense in the league; giving up an average of just 15.4 per game.
The Patriots are 5-1 ATS in its last six games played in Pittsburgh and 7-2 ATS in its last nine games against the Steelers overall. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between these two teams and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their last seven meetings. All signs point to a New England win against the spread in this one.
The odds makers have the Steelers as a -5 point favorite with an over/under of 45.
New England Patriots Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England’s last 10 games
- New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games on the road
- New England is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games
- Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
- Pittsburgh is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
- Pittsburgh is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
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