NFL Monday Night Football – October 4, 2010
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New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins at 8:30 PM EST on ESPN
New England’s offense is off to an incredible start led by QB Tom Brady’s 758 passing yards and eight TD’s passes. The Patriots are ranked seventh in total yards per game and first in total points; averaging 30 per game. Their defense has been another story as they are ranked 27th in total yards allowed and 28th in total points allowed.
Miami could be the Patriots polar opposite. The Dolphins offense has struggled to put points on the board as they are averaging 17.3 points per game, ranking them 23rd. Their defense is the primary reason for their 2-1 start as they are holding teams to an average of just 17 points; 11th best in the league.
The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the AFC East and 1-4 ATS against Miami in their last five meetings. The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the AFC East. The Pick: Miami +1
The Odds makers have the Patriots as a -1 point favorite with an over/under of 46.5.
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New England Patriots Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games
- New England is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
- New England is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England’s last 10 games on the road
Miami Dolphins Betting Trends:
- Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
- Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 games at home
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