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New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills had quite the comeback against the Oakland Raiders in week two of the NFL regular season, but now will face division-rival the New England Patriots and quarterback Tom Brady, who has passed for nearly 1,000 yards and seven touchdowns through New England’s first two games.
New England vs Buffalo
Venue/Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium in Buffalo, New York
Time/Date: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, September 25, 2011 on CBS
NFL Odds From: BetOnline.com
Moneyline: Patriots -350, Bills +290
Spread (ATS): Patriots -8, +105
Over/Under: 53 ½, -110
Buffalo ended its third half of the 2011 season down 21-3 against the Oakland Raiders in front of their home crowd. After they returned from their halftime break, the Bills wouldn’t be stopped once, literally, as they scored on all seven drives in the second half to win the game 38-35.
The Patriots, on the other hand, have looked dominate throughout their first two games, with Brady leading the way.
The future Hall of Fame passer has averaged 463 yards per game so far this season, and has reestablished himself as the best quarterback in the league in two very short weeks, and the Patriots look like they are rolling on all cylinders.
No one seems like they can stop New England, and a Bills defense that allowed the Raiders to run, and pass, all over them isn’t likely to achieve much success this weekend.
Yeah, the Bills came back and one the game against Oakland, but that loss was from more Oakland’s fault than it was the Bills skills, and the fact that they were clearly outplayed by Oakland shows that they are not for real, but have beaten two very lowly teams in Oakland and the Kansas City Chiefs.
If the Bills are going to have any chance at slowing the Patriots, they are going to have to put some serious pressure on Brady—something that they’ve failed to do in both of their previous games. If an Oakland quarterback can stay upright against you, Tom Brady should have a field day.
The Bills should however be able to run against New England, and they will likely utilize Fred Jackson early and often, because their best way to beat New England, is to keep Brady of the field entirely.
So far, they’ve been able to break a lot of big runs, and that has helped them be successful when their defense is fresh and ready to go.
The odds makers have the New England Patriots as a -8 point favorite with an over/under of 53.5.
Matt’s Prediction: Patriots 31, Bills 17—Buffalo’s hopes for making a postseason run will look bleak after playing against Bill Belichek and the Patriots, as everyone will remember who owns the AFC East. Take the Pats to cover the spread in this one.
Need more help making your picks winners? Check out our top handicappers.
New England Patriots Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of New England’s last 13 games
- New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games on the road
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends:
- Buffalo is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
- Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- Buffalo is 6-12-1 SU in its last 19 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 6 games at home
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