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NFL Week 5 Betting Previews- Green Bay Packers vs. Atlanta Falcons
Point spread: Green Bay Packers -6
Money Line: Green Bay Packers -260, Atlanta Falcons +220
Over/Under: 53
The Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons face-off in a key early season NFC battle this Sunday night under the prime time lights of the Georgia Dome. The kick-off for this game is set for 8:20 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on NBC.
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Green Bay is well on its way to defending its Super Bowl title with a dominating 4-0 straight-up start (3-1 against the spread) that has taken nobody by surprise. It has outscored its opponents 148-97 and is averaging 37 points a game, which is ranked first in the NFL. The total has gone ‘over’ in three of its first four games.
Aaron Rodgers is already in postseason form with 1,325 yards passing and 12 touchdowns and the running game is back on track with both James Starks and Ryan Grant in the backfield. The one area of concern with the Packers is a defense that is giving up 406.8 yards and 24.2 points a game, which are both ranked in the bottom half of the league.
Atlanta has been hard to figure out so far with an overall record of 2-2 SU (1-3 ATS). It was blasted by Chicago 30-12 on opening day as a one-point road favorite, but bounced back with a big 35-31 victory over Philadelphia as a 2.5-point home underdog. Last week, the Falcons struggled to get by Seattle 30-28 as six-point home favorites. The total has gone ‘over’ in three of their four games.
The play of quarterback Matt Ryan has been indicative of his team’s with 1,135 yards passing and six TD’s, but four interceptions and an overall passer rating of 84.8. Atlanta’s defense has been sketchy as well with an overall rank of 27th. This unit giving up an average of 26.2 points and 372.8 yards of total offense a game.
The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and the total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of their last eight games as a road favorite.
The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog and the total has gone ‘over’ in five of their last eight home games.
Green Bay rolled to a 48-21 victory over Atlanta as a one-point underdog in last year’s playoffs, but is just 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings. The Falcons will not be able to knock the Packers from the ranks of the unbeaten, but take them to cover with the six points.
The odds makers have the Green Bay Packers as a -6 point favorite with an over/under of 53.
The Pick: Green Bay 31 Atlanta 27
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