NFL Free Pick – Sunday, December 12, 2010
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Oakland Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, December 12, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST on CBS
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Oakland found its running game against the Chargers last weekend and showed just how important it is to their success in the win-loss column.
Likewise, the Jaguars bounced back from their loss to the Giants with a win at Tennessee extending its lead atop the AFC South on the efforts of RB Maurice Jones-Drew who turned in the NFL’s second-best rushing effort of the season with 186 yards on 31 carries.
The table is set for a running clinic. Both teams like to run the ball—and then run some more– with the Jags boasting the second best rushing game in the league and Oakland being number three. However, both teams have its share of struggles when it comes to stopping the oppositions run. The Raiders are yielding 125 YPG while Jacksonville is just a tad better with 109.
If the teams are forced to go to the air, the Raiders may have a slight advantage, but I really don’t see this game turning into a passing affair.
The Jaguars had the edge on the ground when these teams met Dec. 23, 2007 — Oakland’s first trip to Jacksonville. Fred Taylor and Jones-Drew spearheaded a 201-yard rushing day in the Jaguars’ 49-11 rout.
This year’s contest will be much closer, but with the end result being the same.
The odds makers have the Jacksonville Jaguars as a -4 point favorite with an over/under of 43.
PREDICTION- Jacksonville
Oakland Raiders Betting Trends:
- Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games
- Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- Jacksonville is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
- Jacksonville is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games at home
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