There was a balance of power in the totals betting for week six as seven games stayed under and seven games went over. This is the third time this season the totals were evenly split, which just shows you how good the odds makers really are. In last week’s games some big points were put on the board by New Orleans (48) and New England (59) who took their games over on their own. Some team’s offense took the week off including Philadelphia who only scored nine against the Raiders and Seattle being held to three points by the Cardinals. The under of the week was Kansas City at Washington as they combined for 20 points with a 36 point total line. The following are my top three Over/Under picks for week seven.
Chicago Bears @ Cincinnati Bengals History Current Over/Under 42.5
Both these teams lost last week as the Bengals were completely outplayed by the Texans and the Bears fell short on a comeback attempt against Atlanta. These team’s offensive stats are almost like bookends as they are averaging around 330 total yards per game. The Bears have a slight edge in total passing yards 229 to 216 and the Bengals have the edge in running the ball averaging 113 yards per game verse Chicago’s 90 yards. Defensively, Chicago has the edge in total yards allowed only giving up 306 against Cincinnati’s 352, but the both are giving up an average of 19 points per game. All statistics aside, this game has the potential to come down to Jay Cutler’s arm vs. Carson Palmers which should translate into some big plays and a lot of points. Take the OVER in this game.
San Francisco 49ers @ Houston Texans Current Over/Under 44
The last time we saw the 49ers they got pounded by the Atlanta Falcons 45-10. With two weeks to mull over this loss you can rest assure that Mike Singletary will have his team and especially his defense ready to go this Sunday in Houston. Despite that loss, San Francisco is still tied for a share of the lead in the NFC West at 3-2. Houston has been a tough team to figure out this season as they tend to look really good one week, than bad the next. With their 3-3 record, they have won on all the even weeks and lost on the odd. Given that this is week seven they are due for a letdown. If they are going to move the ball against San Francisco it will have to be through the air, as their rushing offense is ranked 30th going against a 49er run defense that is ranked 7th. Given fact that Houston is so one dimensional on offense, this should provide good opportunity for the 49ers to put pressure on QB Matt Schaub, forcing him into some bad decisions. San Francisco’s defense rises to the occasion and keeps this game UNDER.
Indianapolis Colts @ St. Louis Rams Current Over/Under 46
This is a match-up between one of the most prolific scoring teams in the league against the lowest. The Colts are averaging over 27 points for game while the Rams are averaging only 9 which rank them 32nd out of 32 teams. To go along with this, Indianapolis is only giving up an average of 14 points per game which is second best in the NFL. The Ram’s defense on the other hand is ranked 30th in points allowed giving up an average of 28 per game. All this adds up to another big day for Peyton Manning who has had a week off to prepare for this game. The only question in this game is can the Ram’s defense hold them to under 40 points. Look for St.Louis to keep this one respectful in front of their fans keeping the total UNDER.
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.