NFL Top Three ‘Over/Under’ Plays- Week 4
The ‘over’ play dominated the first two weeks of the NFL regular season with 23 of the 32 games going ‘over’ the total, but that trend came to a screeching halt last week as 10 of the 16 games stayed ‘under’ the closing line.
SportsBook Lists has been able to capitalize on the volatility of these lines with a year-to-date record of 6-3 on our ‘top plays’. The followings are our Top 3 ‘over/under’ plays for Week 4 in the NFL with the total line provided by BetOnline.com.
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Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs Over/Under: 39.5
Minnesota has outscored its opponents 54-7 in the first half of its first three games, but comes into Week 4 at 0-3 after getting out-scored 67-6 in the second half.
Kansas City has been plain awful for the entire game in its first three outings; getting outscored by a combined 109-27 to fall to 0-3 on the year. It is ranked last in the NFL in scoring with an average of just nine points a game.
The total has stayed ‘under’ in the Vikings last five games on the road and in five of the Chiefs last seven games at home.
Prediction: UNDER
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Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys Over/Under: 46
Detroit was a beneficiary of one of the Vikings’ meltdowns with a 26-23 overtime win after trailing by 20 points at the half. It is currently ranked fourth in the league in scoring with an average of 33.7 points a game, which is a large reason for the perfect 3-0 start.
Dallas has not been nearly as proficient on offense, but is 2-1 behind a couple of gutsy performance by quarterback Tony Romo. It has been even more impressive given all the injuries on the offensive side of the ball. None the less, it has managed to score a total of 69 points in its first three games.
The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the Lions last five road games and in the last five of their games that have followed an ATS loss. The total has gone ‘over’ in nine of the Cowboys last 10 games at home. Head-to-head, the total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last six meetings.
Prediction: OVER
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Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals Over/Under: 44
Not only is Buffalo 3-0 after a couple of amazing fourth-quarter comebacks against the likes of Oakland and New England, it is the highest scoring team in the league with an average of 37.7 points a game. This is even more amazing considering that it has only managed to score a combined total of 33 points in the first half.
Cincinnati is 1-2 but has already exceeded most people’s expectations behind a rookie quarterback and depleted receiving corps. Nobody will mistake this team for an offensive juggernaut, but it has scored 57 points, which is actually three more than it has given up.
The total has gone ‘over’ in four of the Bills last five games on the road and in all four of Cincinnati’s last four games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more. In the series, the total has gone ‘over’ in the last four meetings.
Prediction: OVER
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