NFL Week 2- Top Three ‘Point Spread’ Plays
We are just one week into the 2011 NFL regular season and it already seems that the odds makers have things figured out to a tee with the home teams going 7-8-1 against the spread and the favorites following suit with the exact same record last week. We had things figured out on our end though; going 2-1 on last week’s recommended plays.
SportsBook Lists has once again done its homework to find the value in this week’s lines, so here are the top three point spread plays for this week.
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Baltimore Ravens (-6) at Tennessee Titans
Baltimore made a statement last Sunday in its 35-7 decimation of Pittsburgh as a one-point home favorite that it is not only the team to beat in the AFC North, but one of the top contenders to win the conference this season.
The only statement that Tennessee made in last week’s 16-14 loss to Jacksonville as a one-point road underdog is that it does not matter who is behind center, this offense still cannot score points on a consistent basis.
The Ravens are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games as favorites and a perfect 4-0 ATS as favorites at home. The Titans are 3-2 straight-up and 4-1 ATS in their last five games in this matchup, but Baltimore has the clear edge on the road, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine trips to Tennessee. Stick with Ravens to keep the momentum going by grinding out a win that covers the six points.
The Pick: Baltimore 16 – Tennessee 6
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San Diego Chargers at New England Patriots (-7)
The Chargers have been notorious for slow starts in the past, but they managed to get by Minnesota 24-17 last week as nine-point home favorites. Philip Rivers threw for 335 yards and two touchdowns, but was also picked-off twice.
Just when you think you have seen it all from last season’s league MVP, Tom Brady finds a way to raise the bar. He passed for a career-high 517 yards against the Dolphins in the Patriots 38-24 win on Monday night. It might be a tougher go this week against a Chargers’ defense that held Donovan McNabb to a career-low 39 yards through the air.
San Diego is 12-3-1 in its last 16 games as an underdog of three or more points and 22-6-3 ATS in its last 31 games as an underdog overall. New England is 6-2 ATS as a favorite in its last eight games, but the underdog in this series has gone 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.
The Pick: New England 31 – San Diego 27
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Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) at Atlanta Falcons
The boo birds will be out in full-force this Sunday night as Michael Vick returns to the Georgia Dome as a starter for the first time since his playing days with Atlanta. This coupled with the fact that this game will be played in prime time may only work to further fuel his performance against his old team.
The Falcons offense will look to avoid getting booed themselves after a dreadful performance in an opening day 30-12 drubbing at the hands of the Chicago Bears. Matt Ryan’s overall numbers were not that bad, but all they could manage were two field goals. The other six points came on an interception return when the game had already been decided.
Philadelphia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC, but 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a favorite of three-points or less. Atlanta is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games following a SU loss, but just 1-1-4 against Philadelphia in the last six meetings at home. The Eagles are actually 9-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Falcons overall.
The Pick: Philadelphia 34- Atlanta 21
Need more help making your picks winners? Check out our top handicappers.
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