NFL Free Pick – Sunday, November 21, 2010
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Atlanta Falcons at Saint Louis Rams
Sunday, November 21, 2010 at 4:05 PM EST on FOX
The Rams lost last week to San Francisco 23-20 in overtime. You could say it was a bit of a blow losing to a team that opened at 0-5. The Rams never seem to be able to muster much offense, three of their wins have come when they scored exactly 20 points, and they totaled 30 in the other win. The defense has actually done a solid job of keeping them in the game, ranking 6th in opponent rushing yards and 18th in passing yards.
Atlanta won its seventh game last week against Baltimore in a last second turnaround that should help team morale going forward. The team is 12th in passing and 8th in rushing, and they don’t rely too heavily on either one. The Falcons do a great job of preventing the run, ranking 7th.
The Rams will be simply outclassed by the Falcons; similar teams and styles, but Atlanta does it better.
The odds makers have the Atlanta Falcons as a -3 point favorite with an over/under of 43.
PREDICTION: Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends:
- Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games on the road
- Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis Rams Betting Trends:
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis’s last 12 games
- St. Louis is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis’s last 7 games at home
- St. Louis is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games at home
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