Falcons vs Buccaneers | Prediction & Pick

NFL Free Pick – Sunday, December  5, 2010

vs.

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, December 5, 2010  at 4:15 PM EST on FOX

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The Falcons can take another big step towards securing one of the top two spots in the conference playoffs with a season sweep of Tampa Bay this Sunday. QB Matt Ryan has completed 64.7 percent of his passes for 2,715 yards, but even more impressive is his 19 touchdown passes against just five interceptions.

The Buccaneers are in danger of letting a promising season slip away if they cannot find a way to win this week. All seven of their wins this season have come against teams with a losing record and they have been outscored 113-50 in their four losses this season.

Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last eight road games but just 1-6 ATS in its last seven games against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last five game overall. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of the last five meetings. The Bucs are in perfect position to take advantage of a potential letdown on the road by the Falcons.

The odds makers have the Atlanta Falcons as a -3 point favorite with an over/under of 43.5.

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Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends:

• Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta’s last 12 games on the road
• Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends:

• Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay’s last 18 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 8 games at home
• Tampa Bay is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home