Colts vs Texans | Prediction & Pick

Sunday Sept. 12 – 1:00 p.m. (ET) on CBS

vs.

Indianapolis Colts (-2 ½) @ Houston Texans ‘Over/Under’ 47

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Most people agree that the road to the AFC South division title still goes through Indianapolis. The Colts have won 10 or more games each season for most of the past decade and 2010 should be no different. Houston turned in its first winning season last year (9-7), but failed to make the playoffs. One of the main obstacles for the Texans to take the next step has been their inability to beat Indianapolis.

In the last 10 games these two have played against one another the Colts have won nine straight up. The Texans have covered the spread in sixth of those games, showing their ability to keep the games close, however they just cannot seem to avoid making the mistakes that eventually cost them the outright win.

This time around should be no different as the Colts are basically the same team that reeled off 14 straight wins in 2009. Houston QB Matt Schaub and WR Andre Johnson will do what they can to keep things close, but in the end it will be another tough defeat for the Texans.

2009 Team Records:

• Indianapolis: 14-2 SU, 10-6 ATS
• Houston: 9-7 SU, 7-8-1 ATS

Indianapolis Colts most recently:

• When playing in September are 8-2
• When playing on grass are 8-2
• After outgaining opponent are 8-2
• When playing within the division are 9-1

Houston Texans most recently:

• When playing in September are 3-7
• When playing on grass are 5-5
• After outgaining opponent are 6-4
• When playing within the division are 3-7

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
• Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
• The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indianapolis’s last 10 games when playing Houston
• Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
• The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston’s last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
• Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
• Houston is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home

Next up:

• Indianapolis home to NY Giants, Sunday, September 19
• Houston at Washington, Sunday, September 19

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