Chargers vs Rams | Prediction & Pick

NFL Free Pick – Sunday, October 10, 2010

vs.

San Diego Chargers at St. Louis Rams 1:00 PM CBS – The Rams will be kicking itself for letting one get away and frankly out of control as they were mauled by the winless Lions 44-6 last Sunday.

The loss was bad enough, but with it came another blow that has depleted the St. Louis receiving corp., as leading WR Mark Clayton went down with a torn patellar tendon. Coupled with the preseason ACL injury of third-year wideout Donnie Avery, quarterback Sam Bradford will certainly look to hand the ball to RB Steven Jackson who had 25 carries for 114 yards in Sunday’s loss.

Meanwhile, the Chargers once again beat themselves, losing in Oakland 35-27. They have been up and down all season and have been plagued by turnovers and a mistake-filled special teams.

They have dropped all three of their road games, a trend they’ll try to reverse when they look for their first ever win in St. Louis this weekend.

It’s hard to believe that a team with QB Philip Rivers, who leads the NFL with 1,759 passing yards and is tied for first with 11 touchdowns, and have a point differential of plus 34, could be under .500.

Rivers has been the only thing keeping the Chargers’ offense rolling, but the Chargers may want to consider assigning RBs Mike Tolbert and Ryan Matthews much more important rolls this weekend against the Rams’ middle-of-the road rushing defense.

I think Rivers can outgun Bradford who will have no real No. 1 target to play catch with.

The odds makers have the San Diego Chargers  as a -8 point favorite with an over/under of 45.

PREDICTION: San Diego

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San Diego Chargers Betting Trends:

• San Diego is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 5 games
• San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
• San Diego is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games

St. Louis Rams Betting Trends:

• The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis’s last 8 games
• St. Louis is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
• St. Louis is 3-21-1 SU in its last 25 games,
• St. Louis is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games at home