NFL Free Pick – Sunday, November 28, 2010
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, November 28, 2010 at 4:15 PM EST on FOX
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Statistically it is hard to figure out how Tampa Bay is 7-3. The Buccaneers’ offense is 23rd overall and 22 in scoring; averaging just 20.9 points per game. Defensively, they are ranked 16th overall, but 29th against the run. One main thing in their favor this season is a ball-hawking defense that has them at a +7 turnover ratio, the other is they find ways to keep games close.
Baltimore’s offense is ranked 12th overall and 16th in points scored; averaging 23.3 points per game. Defense is still the strength of the Ravens, as they are ranked eighth overall and sixth in points allowed. For as good as this unit has been in generating turnovers, Baltimore has a turnover ratio of -1.
The Buccaneers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games on the road and 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. The Ravens are 1-3-2 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win and 4-9-1 in their last 15 games of fieldturf.
The odds makers have the Baltimore Ravens as a -7.5 point favorite with an over/under of 41.
The Pick: Tampa Bay +7 ½
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends:
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tampa Bay’s last 17 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 9 games on the road
- Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games
- Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
- Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 7 games at home
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