NFL Free Pick – Sunday, November 21, 2010
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Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, November 21, 2010 at 1:00 PM EST on CBS
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Arizona dropped its fourth straight to the Seahawks last week, 36-18. They have scored 87 points in those losses, but allowed 113 as the defense continues to let them down. The defense ranks 27th in opponent passing yards and 28th in opponent rushing. The offense doesn’t do much to relieve the pressure as it ranks 30th in passing and 29th in rushing. That all adds up to a 3-6 record and 3rd in the NFC West. Derek Anderson has thrown for all of six touchdowns this year, while rushers Hightower and Wells have combined for barely 600 yards.
Meanwhile Kansas City looked like a dark horse contender until two straight losses to Oakland and Denver last week. Overall I think the team was a bit tired after playing an OT in week 8 against buffalo (which they won) then were forced to go to overtime again against Oakland. The Chiefs stand at 5-4 which is good for first, but it that record doesn’t have the luster it did. They still have issues on passing, ranking 26th; Matt Cassel has tossed 16 touchdowns. Their redeeming feature is the running backs who rank 1st in rushing led by Charles and Jones.
The Chiefs have a noticeably stronger defense than the Cardinals, especially against attempts on the ground. That should allow the Chiefs to get back on track and earn a sixth win.
The odds makers have the Kansas City Chiefs as a -8 point favorite with an over/under of 44.
PREDICTION: Kansas City
Arizona Cardinals Betting Trends:
- Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
- Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona’s last 8 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 games on the road
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends:
- Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games
- Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
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