Top 3 AFC Matchups- Week 7
The AFC is starting to create some separation between the contenders and the pretenders with New England, New York, and Pittsburgh at the top with just one loss, and Buffalo and Cleveland at the bottom with just one win combined. The water is still a bit muddied-up with the rest of the conference as we are still not quite sure what to make of teams like Indianapolis, Tennessee, Houston, and Baltimore who continue to tease us with false starts. You also have a team like Kansas City, who at 3-2 is currently a game and half up in the West. Hopefully this week’s results will bring a little more clarity to the situation.
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Here is a look at my top three matchups in the AFC for Week 7 of the NFL season. All odds are provided by BetUS.com.
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Pittsburgh (-3) @ Miami Over/Under: 40
Pittsburgh survived its four game stretch without QB Ben Roethlisberger and with him back last week behind center once again looks like the team to beat in the North. In his first start of the season he completed 16-of- 27 attempts for 257 yards and three TD’s in the Steelers 28-10 win over Cleveland.
Miami’s offense is ranked 12th in yards per game but 24th in scoring; averaging just 17.8 points per game. The Dolphins defense is ranked ninth in total yards allowed and 23rd in points allowed, giving up an average of 22.4 per game.
The Steelers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite but the Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog. Look for Miami to slow Big Ben down a bit in his second game back.
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Jacksonville @ Kansas City (-4 ½) Over/Under: 43 ½
Jacksonville is 3-3 on the year, yet they have been blown out at home by Philadelphia 28-3 and by Tennessee last Monday night 30-3. The Jaguars may have to start Trent Edwards at QB if David Garrard is not ready to go.
Kansas City has run its record to 3-2 behind the No.1 ranked rushing offense in the league led by Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones, along with a defense that is only giving up an average of 18.4 points per game.
The Jaguars are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall. The Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. This game looks like two teams headed in the opposite direction so it is time to jump on K.C. bandwagon.
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New England @ San Diego (-3) Over/Under: 48
Every time you begin to think that New England is not one of the elite teams in the AFC anymore it finds a way to prove you wrong. The Patriots 23-20 win over Baltimore last Sunday is a perfect example of this. They still need to fix a defense that is 25th in points allowed, but they are headed in the right direction.
The glory days of San Diego may be a thing of the past as the Chargers suddenly look like a very ordinary team. They have endured slow starts before but this year looks to be a different story as the drain of talent from this team is taking its toll.
The Patriots are 13-6-3 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog. The Chargers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games between these two teams. The Patriots should be giving points in this game against a depleted Chargers team.
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