NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 20, 2010
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#7 Wisconsin @ Michigan – 12:00 PM ET on ESPN
The Badgers don’t usually draw a lot of attention to themselves but when you score 83 points in a game people are bound to notice. Especially when you do it without the help of your top offensive weapon, RB John Clay, who is questionable this weekend. Many thought Wisconsin was due for a few more losses after losing to the Spartans but since then they have been perfect and are firmly in the Rose Bowl conversation heading into Saturday. Winning at the Big House may be easier now than it has been in some time but it is still no gimme, especially the way the Wolverines can put points on the board. The Badgers may not need 83 points on Saturday but half that amount is probably what it is going to take to continue their winning ways against Denard Robinson and crew.
Prediction: Wisconsin 45 – Michigan 38 – Bet Now
Odds: Wisconsin: -4.5 – Michigan: +4.5 – Over/Under: 67
Team records:
- Wisconsin: 9-1 SU, 4-5 ATS
- Michigan: 7-3 SU, 3-6 ATS
Wisconsin Badgers most recently:
- When playing in November are 8-2
- When playing on turf are 10-0
- After outgaining opponent are 8-2
- When playing within the conference are 8-2
Michigan Wolverines most recently:
- When playing in November are 3-7
- When playing on turf are 5-5
- After outgaining opponent are 6-4
- When playing within the conference are 3-7
A few betting trends to consider:
- Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin’s last 6 games
- Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisconsin’s last 8 games on the road
- Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
- Michigan is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Wisconsin
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan’s last 7 games
- Michigan is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Next up:
- Wisconsin home to Northwestern, Saturday, November 27
- Michigan at Ohio State, Saturday, November 27
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