Washington vs California | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 27, 2010

vs.

Washington (4-6, 3-4) at California (5-6, 3-5), 3:30 p.m., CSN CA

The Huskies showed a little life, and what might be a little last minute hoorah as they whipped UCLA on Thursday to end their three-game losing streak.

Now they are playing for their lives in what appears to be the second PAC-10 bowl-elimination game of the week.

Quarterback and Heisman hopeful bust Jake Locker, will no doubt want to repeat last year’s performance in which he lead his Huskies to a dominating 42-10 win over the Golden Bears.

Cal is a different team at home — at least until being blown out by Stanford last weekend — but can its offense get on track? They will lean hard on RB Shane Vereen.

If one thing can be gleaned from last week’s loss, it’s that backup quarterback Brock Mansion is getting better with the short passing game and is making progress at sustaining drives.

Prediction: California – Bet Now

Odds: Washington: +7 – California: -7 – Over/Under: 50

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Team records:

• Washington: 4-6 SU, 3-6-1 ATS
• California: 5-6 SU, 5-5 ATS

Washington Huskies most recently:

• When playing in November are 2-8
• When playing on turf are 5-5
• After outgaining opponent are 5-5
• When playing within the conference are 5-5

California Golden Bears most recently:

• When playing in November are 5-5
• When playing on turf are 5-5
• After being outgained are 7-3
• When playing within the conference are 4-6

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing California
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington’s last 9 games
• Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of California’s last 7 games when playing Washington
• California is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
• California is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
• California is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Next up:

• Washington at Washington State, Saturday, December 4