Washington vs Arizona | Pick

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 23, 2010

vs.

Washington (3-3, 2-1) at No. 18 Arizona (5-1, 2-1), ESPN, 10:15 P.M. ET

Arizona’s top 10 defense combined with its PAC-10 leading passer Nick Foles have earned the Wildcats a No. 18 ranking.

However, even more will be expected of the defense as starting quarterback Nick Foles will watch from the sideline nursing a knee injury suffered in Saturday’s 24-7 victory at Washington State.

Arizona’s defenders will have their hands full containing Huskies’ QB Jake Locker who threw for a career-best five touchdowns in last Saturday’s 35-34 double overtime win over then-No. 24 Oregon State. They rank 10th in the nation in total defense at 284.3 yards per game and seventh in scoring defense at 13.3 points a contest.

The Wildcats will count on back up QB Matt Scott to get the job done offensively. The junior is played just one game in 2009 and is known more for his running ability than his throwing.

This will no doubt put some added pressure on the ‘Cats ground attack that has had its share of trouble try to find its footing in last week’s win over the Beavers, and is ranked 90th overall for the 2010 campaign.

Regardless, the Wildcats should still be able to move the ball against a Washington team that ranks 98th in the FBS in total defense, permitting an average of 416.8 yards.

Prediction: Arizona – Bet Now

Odds: Washington: +6.5 – Arizona: -6.5 – Over/Under: 54

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Team records:

• Washington: 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS
• Arizona: 5-1 SU, 2-3 ATS

Washington Huskies most recently:

• When playing in October are 3-7
• When playing on grass are 2-8
• After outgaining opponent are 5-5
• When playing within the conference are 5-5

Arizona Wildcats most recently:

• When playing in October are 6-4
• When playing on grass are 7-3
• After outgaining opponent are 6-4
• When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing Arizona
• Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
• Washington is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Arizona
• Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
• Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Washington
• Arizona is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
• Arizona is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington

Next up:

• Washington home to Stanford, Saturday, October 30
• Arizona at UCLA, Saturday, October 3