NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 13, 2010
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UTEP @ #15 Arkansas – 7:00 PM ET on ESPNU
UTEP is 6-4 overall and 3-4 in the Conference-USA’s West Division. The Minors are coming off a 28-14 win over SMU as a 6 ½ point home underdog, but this game is a huge step-up in weight class. Arkansas is 7-2 and still in line for a major bowl bid. The Razorbacks should win going away so do not let the 29-point line scare you.
Prediction: Auburn -28.5 – Bet Now
Odds: UTEP: +28.5 – Arkansas: -28.5 – Over/Under: OFF
Team records:
- UTEP: 6-4 SU, 4-5 ATS
- Arkansas: 7-2 SU, 6-2 ATS
UTEP Minors most recently:
- When playing in November are 4-6
- When playing on grass are 3-7
- After being outgained are 5-5
- When playing outside the conference are 5-5
Arkansas Razorbacks most recently:
- When playing in November are 7-3
- When playing on grass are 7-3
- After outgaining opponent are 7-3
- When playing outside the conference are 9-1
A few betting trends to consider:
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of UTEP’s last 16 games on the road
- UTEP is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- UTEP is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
- Arkansas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
- Arkansas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Next up:
- UTEP at Tulsa, Saturday, November 20
- Arkansas at Mississippi State, Saturday, November 20
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