USC Trojans vs Stanford Cardinal | Predictions, Free Pick, Odds | Sportsbookbuzz.com

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 9, 2010

vs.

USC at No. 16 Stanford – ABC, 8:00 p.m ET on ABC

This one could get ugly, and I’m not talking about the numbers on the scoreboard.

The Trojans were dissed by Stanford coach Jim Harbaugh in last year’s 55-21 loss to the Cardinals, but USC’s resentment is not for the its worse loss in 43 years, but for Harbaugh’s decision to go for a two-point conversion with 48-21 lead midway through the fourth quarter.

Nevertheless, the Trojans will need to put the past behind them and focus on the issues at hand, cost them their first defeat of the season, falling to Washington 32-31 on a 32-yard field goal as time expired.

Meanwhile, the PAC-10’s most elite QB, Andrew Luck, also fell victim to his first loss as the Cardinal’s second half meltdown to the No. 4 Oregon Ducks ruined the team’s highest ranking (No. 9) since 1992.

Luck turned in another solid performance completing 29 of 46 for 241 yards and two scores in the loss, boasting his season totals to 15 touchdowns — 13 passing– while completing 62.8 percent of his throws.

Luck will likely have another strong outing against the Trojans who he threw for two TDs and ran for another against last season, as the Boys of Tory are ranked 116th in the nation against the pass, allowing 288.0 yards per game, and 99th in total defense.

USC will bring its own quiver of weapons led by quarterback Matt Barkley who has been impressive so far registering 12 TDs while laying claim to the Pac-10′s highest passer rating.

Stanford has lost its last four home games in the series by an average of 24.8 points.

Expect an epic battle as a little Stanford “Luck” gives them the edge in this one.

Prediction: Stanford – Bet Now

Odds: USC: +9.5 – Stanford: -9.5 – Over/Under: 59

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Team records:

Southern Cal: 4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS
Stanford: 4-1 SU, 3-1 ATS

USC Trojans most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Stanford Cardinal most recently:

When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few betting trends to consider:

Southern Cal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Stanford
Southern Cal is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Stanford
Stanford is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford’s last 8 games when playing Southern Cal
Stanford is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Southern Cal

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