Purdue vs Michigan State | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 20, 2010

vs.

Purdue @ #12 Michigan State – 12:00 PM ET

Michigan State just needs to keep their eyes on the prize and hope for a little luck. They have the easiest end to the schedule of the conference contenders and could wind up in the Rose Bowl if everything goes their way. Of course that is all predicated on not blowing themselves up by doing something like losing to Purdue. The Boilermakers are extremely shorthanded right now while MSU is coming off their bye. Even if they are little sluggish to start the game they should eventually dominate.

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Prediction: Purdue 7 – Michigan State 30 – Bet Now

Odds: Purdue: +20 – Michigan State : -20 – Over/Under: 48

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Team records:

• Purdue: 4-6 SU, 3-6 ATS
• Michigan State: 9-1 SU, 5-4 ATS

Purdue Boilermakers most recently:

• When playing in November are 4-6
• When playing on grass are 5-5
• After being outgained are 5-5
• When playing within the conference are 4-6

Michigan State Spartans most recently:

• When playing in November are 7-3
• When playing on grass are 8-2
• After outgaining opponent are 8-2
• When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue’s last 6 games
• Purdue is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
• Purdue is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
• Purdue is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
• Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
• Michigan State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games

Next up:

• Purdue home to Indiana, Saturday, November 27
• Michigan State at Penn State, Saturday, November 27