NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 20, 2010
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Penn State @ Indiana – 12:00 PM ET
I am still in shock as to how badly the Hoosiers were beaten by Wisconsin. Usually when you see a score like that it is week one and the losing team is a directional school. Indiana is not a very good team but you have to think that after getting humiliated like that they would respond, especially at home. Penn State has just owned this series. They have never lost to Indiana and the average margin of victory has been 17 points. I think it will be a little bit closer this time.
Prediction: Penn State 34 – Indiana 24 – Bet Now
Odds: Penn State: -10 – Indiana: +10 – Over/Under: 56.5
Team records:
- Penn State: 6-4 SU, 4-5 ATS
- Indiana: 4-6 SU, 4-5 ATS
Penn State Nittany Lions most recently:
- When playing in November are 6-4
- When playing on turf are 8-2
- After being outgained are 6-4
- When playing within the conference are 6-4
Indiana Hoosiers most recently:
- When playing in November are 1-9
- When playing on turf are 4-6
- After being outgained are 3-7
- When playing within the conference are 0-10
A few betting trends to consider:
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State’s last 5 games
- Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
- Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
- Penn State is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
- Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Penn State
- Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
- Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
Next up:
- Penn State home to Michigan State, Saturday, November 27
- Indiana at Purdue, Saturday, November 27
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