NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 16, 2010
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No. 24 Oregon State (3-2, 2-0) at Washington (2-3, 1-1) ESPN, 10:15 P.M. ET
This game could end the Huskies bowl hopes so a win against a re-energized Oregon State Beavers is something they cannot afford to take lightly.
Oregon State returned to the AP Poll this week at No. 24 and is 2-0 in Pac-10 play for the first time since 2003 after an impressive 29-27 upset of the then-No.9 Arizona Wildcats in Tucson last weekend.
Pac-10 Offensive Player of the Week, sophomore quarterback Ryan Katz, put on a clinic, passing for 393 yards and two touchdowns, and scrambling for another.
Running back Jacquizz, Rodgers made major contributions as well, squirming his way to 92 yards on 25 carries and catching three passes for 41 yards. His 1-yard touchdown run with just over five minutes remaining would eventually be the game winner.
The victory would come with a heavy price though, as WR James Rodgers was injured on a tackle midway in the second quarter and will be sidelined with a season-ending knee injury.
The Huskies have struggled despite the sometimes-infrequent heroics of heralded QB Jake Locker who has been the biggest Heisman bust of the season.
After edging out then-No.18 USC 32-31, Washington would fall to ASU, 24-14. Inconsistency apparently knows no bounds.
The Huskies just looked dreadful converting just 4-of-15 third down conversion attempts as Locker came up short on at least two critical downs that could have been possible game changers. He did have one single redeeming moment finally finding D’Andre Goodwin for a 15-yard touchdown to pull within seven early in the fourth.
The all time series belongs to the Huskies, who are 57-33-4 thanks mainly to a 25-2 run between 1975 and 2003. Nevertheless, the Beavers currently hold a school record six-game win streak since then.
If Oregon State can build on their win at Arizona and keep Locker in check, they can pick up some much-needed ground in their race for the roses.
Prediction: Oregon State – Bet Now
Odds: Oregon State: 0 – Washington: 0 – Over/Under: 60.5
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Team records:
- Oregon State: 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS
- Washington: 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS
Oregon State Beavers most recently:
- When playing in October are 8-2
- When playing on turf are 6-4
- After being outgained are 7-3
- When playing within the conference are 8-2
Washington Huskies most recently:
- When playing in October are 2-8
- When playing on turf are 6-4
- After being outgained are 4-6
- When playing within the conference are 4-6
A few betting trends to consider:
- Oregon State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
- Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State’s last 7 games when playing Washington
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing Oregon State
- Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
- Washington is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
Next up:
- Oregon State home to California, Saturday, October 30
- Washington at Arizona, Saturday, October 23
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