NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 20, 2010
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#9 Ohio State @ #20 Iowa – 3:30 PM ET on ABC
Definitely Game of the Week here. Iowa is entering the contest off a heartbreaking loss to Northwestern which has taken all meaning out of their season…except to ruin the season of another conference mate like the Buckeyes. Last year OSU won by a FG in overtime against Iowa at the Horseshoe. That game was as tight as it sounds with both defenses flexing their muscle. That is likely to be the case again this year as these offenses just refuse to open up, especially Iowa who is taking a lot of criticism after last week. Kirk Ferentz is considered one of the better coaches in the country and this game will be a real test. The Hawkeyes have had it circled all year long but losses to other teams have diminished its importance. Can he keep the preparation and motivation high enough to beat a team they haven’t beaten since 2004. Iowa is the home underdog so it seems the world is counting them out. Should you?
Prediction: Ohio State 24 – Iowa 28 – Bet Now
Odds: Ohio State: -3 – Iowa: +3 – Over/Under: 48
Team records:
- Ohio State: 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS
- Iowa: 7-3 SU, 5-4 ATS
Ohio State Buckeyes most recently:
- When playing in November are 9-1
- When playing on grass are 6-4
- After outgaining opponent are 9-1
- When playing within the conference are 9-1
Iowa Hawkeyes most recently:
- When playing in November are 5-5
- When playing on grass are 7-3
- After being outgained are 9-1
- When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few betting trends to consider:
- Ohio State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
- Ohio State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Iowa
- Ohio State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State’s last 5 games
- Iowa is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
- Iowa is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa’s last 5 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa’s last 7 games
Next up:
- Ohio State home to Michigan, Saturday, November 27
- Iowa at Minnesota, Saturday, November 27
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