NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 27, 2010
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Northwestern @ #7 Wisconsin – 3:30 PM ET on ABC
The Wildcats minus their heroic QB Dan Persa are all than stand between the Badgers and a possible trip to the Rose Bowl. They are at home in Madison which makes this game a near lock for Wisconsin who should be able to push around the Wildcats with their dominant running game. NW hasn’t won in Madison since 2000 although they have enjoyed success against the Badgers. Their wins have usually been of the high scoring variety and without Persa that is going to be a tough order. Freshman QB Watkins is a big pivot and shouldn’t be scared but he is not nearly as nimble with his feet which is what will be required with the pressure the Badgers are likely to bring. Wisconsin smells the coast and nothing is going to stand in their way.
Prediction: Wisconsin 41 – Northwestern 24 – Bet Now
Odds: Wisconsin: -23 – Northwestern: +23 – Over/Under: 57.5
Team records:
- Northwestern: 7-4 SU, 2-8 ATS
- Wisconsin: 10-1 SU, 5-5 ATS
Northwestern Wildcats most recently:
- When playing in November are 7-3
- When playing on turf are 6-4
- After being outgained are 9-1
- When playing within the conference are 6-4
Wisconsin Badgers most recently:
- When playing in November are 8-2
- When playing on turf are 10-0
- After outgaining opponent are 8-2
- When playing within the conference are 8-2
A few betting trends to consider:
- Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Northwestern’s last 17 games on the road
- Northwestern is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern’s last 6 games on the road
- Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisconsin’s last 7 games
- Wisconsin is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northwestern
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