NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 16, 2010
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Mississippi State @ #22 Florida – 7:00 PM ET on ESPNU
Mississippi State comes into this game riding a three game winning streak including a 24-12 win over Georgia a couple a weeks ago. The Bulldogs are 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Florida desperately needs a big win to get back on track after a couple of rough weeks. The Gators are also 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Mississippi State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games against Florida and has the ability to keep this one close enough to cover again.
Prediction: Mississippi State +7 – Bet Now
Odds: Mississippi State: +7 – Florida: -7 – Over/Under: 47
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Team records:
- Mississippi State: 4-2 SU, 3-2 ATS
- Florida: 4-2 SU, 2-3-1 ATS
Mississippi State Bulldogs most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 4-6
Florida Gators most recently:
- When playing in October are 7-3
- When playing on grass are 8-2
- After being outgained are 7-3
- When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few betting trends to consider:
- Mississippi State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
- Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Mississippi State is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
- Florida is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home
- Florida is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
- Florida is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
Next up:
- Mississippi State home to UAB, Saturday, October 23
- Florida home to Georgia, Saturday, October 30
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