Minnesota vs Purdue | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 16, 2010

vs.

Minnesota @ Purdue – 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2

Purdue surprised by beating unbeaten Northwestern last week while Minnesota did not, rolling over against Wisconsin. With three wins so far Purdue needs this one and a couple more to become bowl eligible. A shocker given how bad they have looked at times. With Robert Marve out with injury the Boilermakers turned to freshman Rob Henry. Henry’s passing stats were horrible but he got the victory thanks to some hard running, gaining 132 yards on the ground. Northwestern couldn’t slow him down and Minnesota should have a tough time as well.

Prediction: Minnesota 17 – Purdue 24 – Bet Now

Odds: Minnesota: +5.5 – Purdue: -5.5 – Over/Under: 51

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Team records:

• Minnesota: 1-5 SU, 4-1 ATS
• Purdue: 3-2 SU, 1-3 ATS

Minnesota Golden Gophers most recently:

• When playing in October are 5-5
• When playing on grass are 2-8
• After being outgained are 4-6
• When playing within the conference are 3-7

Purdue Boilermakers most recently:

• When playing in October are 3-7
• When playing on grass are 5-5
• After being outgained are 5-5
• When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few betting trends to consider:

• Minnesota is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Purdue
• Minnesota is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Purdue
• Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
• Minnesota is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Purdue
• Purdue is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
• Purdue is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
• Purdue is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
• Purdue is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:

• Minnesota home to Penn State, Saturday, October 23
• Purdue at Ohio State, Saturday, October 23