NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 13, 2010
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Michigan @ Purdue – 12:00 PM ET
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What an offensive performance by Big Blue last week and what a horrible defensive performance too. Unfortunately the Boliermakers are just too shorthanded to take full advantage of that bad Michigan D. They are down to their third string QB and are missing a slew of offensive playmakers as well. Double digits might be too much to spot UM when it seems like Denard Robinson leaves every game early due to injury…but they are capable of blowing them out.
Prediction: Michigan 42 – Purdue 21 – Bet Now
Odds: Michigan : +17.5 – Purdue: -17.5 – Over/Under: 58
Team records:
- Michigan: 6-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS
- Purdue: 4-5 SU, 2-6 ATS
Michigan Wolverines most recently:
- When playing in November are 2-8
- When playing on grass are 4-6
- After outgaining opponent are 5-5
- When playing within the conference are 2-8
Purdue Boilermakers most recently:
- When playing in November are 4-6
- When playing on grass are 6-4
- When playing within the conference are 5-5
- Before playing Michigan State are 4-6
A few betting trends to consider:
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Michigan’s last 15 games on the road
- Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Purdue
- Michigan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
- Michigan is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
- Purdue is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- Purdue is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Michigan
- Purdue is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Michigan
Next up:
- Michigan home to Wisconsin, Saturday, November 20
- Purdue at Michigan State, Saturday, November 20
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