NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 27, 2010
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#10 Michigan State @ Penn State – 12:00 PM ET
The Spartans woke up soon enough to beat Purdue last week so their Rose Bowl and BCS hopes are still alive. I am no tiebreaker expert but for that to happen guaranteed they need to win and at least one loss from either Wisconsin or Ohio State. Iowa which dealt them their only loss almost helped them out by beating OSU but it wasn’t meant to be I guess. The Spartans should handle PSU this week but if they really want to make a BCS bid they should put forth a stronger effort than they have the last few weeks. They haven’t looked good since beating Michigan several weeks back.
Prediction: Michigan State 38 – Penn State 21 – Bet Now
Odds: Michigan State: -1.5 – Penn State : +1.5 – Over/Under: 51
Team records:
- Michigan State: 10-1 SU, 5-5 ATS
- Penn State: 7-4 SU, 5-5 ATS
Michigan State Spartans most recently:
- When playing in November are 8-2
- When playing on grass are 8-2
- After outgaining opponent are 9-1
- When playing within the conference are 7-3
Penn State Nittany Lions most recently:
- When playing in November are 6-4
- When playing on grass are 7-3
- After outgaining opponent are 6-4
- When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few betting trends to consider:
- Michigan State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Michigan State’s last 10 games when playing Penn State
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Penn State
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Michigan State’s last 15 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State’s last 5 games
- Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan State
- Penn State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
- Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
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