NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 27, 2010
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#24 Iowa @ Minnesota – 3:30 PM ET
If the Hawkeyes were playing almost anybody but Minnesota I would probably predict an ugly loss after their heartbreaker against the Buckeyes. Even though the Gophers won last week the talent gap here is just too great. Amazingly Minnesota hasn’t won a home game all season. They will play them tough in their season finale but in the second half Iowa will remember that they have no business letting Minnesota think they have a chance to win.
Prediction: Iowa 45 – Minnesota 13 – Bet Now
Odds: Iowa : -15.5 – Minnesota: +15.5 – Over/Under: 51.5
Team records:
- Iowa: 7-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS
- Minnesota: 2-9 SU, 6-4 ATS
Iowa Hawkeyes most recently:
- When playing in November are 5-5
- When playing on turf are 6-4
- After being outgained are 8-2
- When playing within the conference are 5-5
Minnesota Golden Gophers most recently:
- When playing in November are 2-8
- When playing on turf are 3-7
- After being outgained are 3-7
- When playing within the conference are 2-8
A few betting trends to consider:
- Iowa is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa’s last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Iowa’s last 9 games when playing Minnesota
- Iowa is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games when playing Iowa
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 8 games
- Minnesota is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Iowa
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