NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 9, 2010
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Indiana @ #2 Ohio State – 12:00 PM ET on ESPN
Was Ohio State exposed last week or just asleep? Either way I am sure that the Hoosiers scare of Michigan got their full attention. This Indiana team is one of the few Big Ten teams that can play catchup when it needs to so I don’t expect them to wilt at the Horseshoe. Still, pulling off the upset seems pretty unlikely. The Buckeyes have won and covered in the last 5 in this series and Indiana hasn’t scored more than 14 points in any of those games. I think they will exceed that total this week but it still will not be enough.
Prediction: Indiana 24 – Ohio State 38 – Bet Now
Odds: Indiana: +22 – Ohio State : -22 – Over/Under: 57.5
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Team records:
- Indiana: 3-1 SU, 2-1 ATS
- Ohio State: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS
Indiana most recently:
- When playing in October are 2-8
- When playing on turf are 5-5
- After being outgained are 2-8
- When playing within the conference are 1-9
Ohio State most recently:
- When playing in October are 8-2
- When playing on turf are 10-0
- After outgaining opponent are 10-0
- When playing within the conference are 9-1
A few betting trends to consider:
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana’s last 8 games on the road
- Indiana is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
- Indiana is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
- Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ohio State
- Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State’s last 5 games at home
- Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Next up:
- Indiana home to Arkansas State, Saturday, October 16
- Ohio State at Wisconsin, Saturday, October 16
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