Illinois Fighting Illini vs Northwestern Wildcats | Predictions, Free Pick, Odds | Sportsbookbuzz.com

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 20, 2010

vs.

Illinois @ Northwestern – 3:30 PM ET on ESPNU

It is a real shame that Wildcats QB Dan Persa got hurt at the end of their upset win against Iowa. I watched the 4Q of that game from a restaurant and couldn’t take my eyes off the screen, much to the chagrin of my family. It was fantastic watching Persa use his athleticism to guide NW to victory over the Hawkeyes and a shame we may not see him again until next fall. Which is going to make beating an improved Illinois team that much tougher. I think NW can do it as with Persa out they will need to rally around backup QB Evan Watkins. With Persa out the story of the week changed and as well as the expectations that came with it. But Illinois isn’t going to just give the game to NW. They would love to make it to a bowl this season and have only two more shots to get a 6th victory. This is an under the radar rivalry between schools that are pretty close to each other. NW has dominated of late winning 6 of the last seven.

Prediction: Illinois 20 – Northwestern 21 – Bet Now

Odds: Illinois : -7.5 – Northwestern: +7.5 – Over/Under: 49.5

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Team records:

Illinois: 5-5 SU, 6-3 ATS
Northwestern: 7-3 SU, 2-7 ATS

Illinois Fighting Illini most recently:

When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 5-5

Northwestern Wildcats most recently:

When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few betting trends to consider:

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois’s last 6 games when playing Northwestern
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Illinois’s last 12 games on the road
Northwestern is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern’s last 6 games when playing Illinois
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
Northwestern is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

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