Illinois vs Michigan | Predictions

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, November 6, 2010

vs.

Illinois @ Michigan – 12:00 PM ET on ESPN

This is an interesting contest and not a bad one to kick off the weekend in the Big Ten. Neither of these teams is a threat to take the conference title but they are both trying to prove that the improvements they have demonstrated so far this season are for real and a win over the other would help. A victory would also help their coaches who are desperate for success to keep their jobs. Denard Robinson has cooled of late and he is the key to this one. If he can get his Heisman mojo back than Michigan should win at home. If not then Illinois will continue its surprise ascent, possibly saving Ron Zook in the process.

Prediction: Illinois 27 – Michigan 31 – Bet Now

Odds: Illinois: +3 – Michigan: -3 – Over/Under: 57

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Team records:

• Illinois: 5-3 SU, 5-2 ATS
• Michigan: 5-3 SU, 3-4 ATS

Illinois Fighting Illini most recently:

• When playing in November are 5-5
• When playing on turf are 5-5
• After outgaining opponent are 2-8
• When playing within the conference are 5-5

Michigan Wolverines most recently:

• When playing in November are 2-8
• When playing on turf are 4-6
• After being outgained are 3-7
• When playing within the conference are 1-9

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Illinois’s last 11 games on the road
• Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
• Illinois is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
• Illinois is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Michigan
• Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Illinois

Next up:

• Illinois home to Minnesota, Saturday, November 13
• Michigan at Purdue, Saturday, November 13