Arizona State vs California | Pick

NCAA Football Free Pick – Saturday, October 23, 2010

vs.

Arizona State (3-3, 1-2) at California (3-3, 1-2), FSN, 3:30 P.M. ET

The Sun Devils will be on a mission as they use their momentum from Week 6’s, 24-12 win over Washington to try and avenge a 23-21 loss to Cal last season.

ASU is coming off a bye, and should be well-rested including QB Steven Threet who battled a soggy football, completing passes to nine different receivers for 288 yards and two touchdowns in that win that would end the Sun Devils’ three-game losing skid.

Over in City of Angeles the Trojans blasted the Golden Bears from the opening kickoff to the final whistle, rolling up 589 total yards, while holding Cal scoreless until RB Shane Vereen scored on a 31-yard screen pass late in the third quarter to avoid the shutout.

USC came into the game ranked 100th in the FBS after giving up 69 points in its past two games, but held Cal to just 245 total yards.

QB Kevin Riley passed for 193 yards and threw two interceptions in the Bears’ seventh straight loss to USC.

Meanwhile, the Sun Devils defense led by linebacker Vontaze Burfict, who sat out the entire first quarter after being benched by the Arizona State coaching staff for reckless play against Oregon State last week, held the Huskies’ Locker to just 209 yards and a single TD, while picking him off once and limiting his connection to favorite target Jermaine Kearse to six with zero scores.

The Devils have not won at Cal since a 28-21 victory back in 1997, but his may be their best shot.

Prediction: Arizona State- Bet Now

Odds: Arizona State: +3.5 – California: -3.5 – Over/Under: 53

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Team records:

• Arizona State: 3-3 SU, 3-1 ATS
• California: 3-3 SU, 3-2 ATS

Arizona State Sun Devils most recently:

• When playing in October are 3-7
• When playing on turf are 4-6
• After outgaining opponent are 4-6
• When playing within the conference are 2-8

California Golden Bears most recently:

• When playing in October are 6-4
• When playing on turf are 5-5
• After being outgained are 6-4
• When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few betting trends to consider:

• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State’s last 5 games when playing California
• The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Arizona State’s last 19 games on the road
• Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
• Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing California
• California is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona State
• California is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California’s last 5 games when playing Arizona State
• California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona State

Next up:

• Arizona State home to Washington State, Saturday, October 30
• California at Oregon State, Saturday, October 30